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Custom credit risk models built on the data you already have.

Most lenders already have the data and the decision engine. The gap is the model in between. Carrington Labs builds that model from your own borrowers and repayment outcomes, then delivers it into the systems you already run.

Partners & platform integrations
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Carrington Labs provides credit risk and cash flow analytics for the entire borrower lifecycle

Underwriting

Increase loan approvals

Assess credit risk more accurately and approve more loans with confidence, including thin- and no-file borrowers.

Offer & pricing

Optimize pricing

Set value-maximizing loan and line amounts with risk-based pricing that balances expected loss against contribution margin.

Servicing

Monitor portfolio

Identify repayment risk earlier and uncover new opportunities with early risk signals and proactive line management.

How it works

The missing layer between your data and your decision engine

Carrington Labs delivers decision-ready outputs through API or batch.

Your data
Application data
Bureau attributes
Portfolio & loan-performance
Bank transaction data
Financial data
Fraud & identity signals
  1. Map and prepare
  2. Engineer predictive features
  3. Train, validate and explain
Carrington Labs analytical core
Originate
Monitor & service
Credit Risk Model
Credit Offer Engine
Cashflow Score
Financial Health Summary
Cashflow Servicing

Credit Risk Model

API / batch

PD: 1.2% Risk score: 89/100

Carrington Labs integrates with
  • Decision engine
  • Scorecard
  • Origination platform
  • LMS
  • CRM
  • Portfolio analytics

Your data

Application data
Bureau attributes
Portfolio & loan-performance
Bank transaction data
Financial data
Fraud & identity signals

Start with the data you have — no source is mandatory.

Carrington Labs credit analytics layer

Credit Risk ModelAPI / batch

PD: 1.2% Risk score: 89/100

Carrington Labs integrates with

  • Decision engine
  • Scorecard
  • Origination platform
  • LMS
  • CRM
  • Portfolio analytics

For illustrative purposes only

Your dataCarrington Labs modelsDecision-ready output

For illustrative purposes only

How it works, in text

  1. Data enters. Transaction, bureau, application, and internal performance data — any combination you already have.
  2. Signal identified. We classify and normalize the data, then identify the leading predictors of credit risk.
  3. Model applied.The layer returns five model outputs: Credit Risk Model, Credit Offer Engine, Cashflow Score, Financial Health Summary and Cashflow Servicing.
  4. Output enters your workflow. Apply within your policy — use the outputs to inform approvals, referrals, pricing, limits, servicing actions, or portfolio monitoring, while you retain control over final decisions.
Solutions

Five credit risk solutions, one credit analytics layer

Each model is built on your own borrowers and repayment outcomes, with features engineered from cash flow and traditional data, explainable reason codes, and retraining included.

Origination / Decisioning

Credit Risk Model

A tailored model estimating each borrower's probability of default using lender-specific data.

Inputs

Transactional, bureau, application, internal performance/portfolio, and financials — any appropriate combination; transaction data is helpful but not required.

Outputs

Probability of default, a personalized risk score, product-specific risk ranking, and explainable drivers/reason codes.

Origination / Decisioning

Credit Offer Engine

Recommends how much to lend and at what price to maximize value within policy.

Inputs

Borrower/account data; bureau data (where available); requested amount and term; the lender's optimization ranges (amount, term, interest rate, fee); policy limits (max default probability, min acceptance probability, min contribution margin, regulatory rate/term bounds).

Outputs

A recommended (value-maximizing) offer, the borrower's preferred offer, and alternatives — each with amount, term, interest rate, fee, PD, expected loss, contribution margin, acceptance probability, and expected contribution.

Origination / Decisioning

Cashflow Score

A fast, standardized, explainable credit-risk score based solely on account and transaction data.

Inputs

Account and transaction data only — no bureau data, no PII required.

Outputs

A standardized score (1–100), generalized risk segmentation, and explainable drivers/reason codes across behavioral areas (Velocity, Liquidity, Stability, Leverage, Resilience). Complements bureau scores — not a bureau score.

Origination / Decisioning

Financial Health Summary

A flexible insight layer that returns interpretable borrower insights, metrics and attributes — defined and adjusted to the calculations your scorecards and policy rules require.

Inputs

Transaction, bureau, and other lender-provided data; custom metric requirements defined by the lender.

Outputs

Income/expense metrics and variability/stability measures, defined to the lender's rules and scorecard requirements. Surfaces metrics, not scores or decisions — feeds the lender's own scorecards, policy rules, and decisioning.

Post-Origination / Servicing

Cashflow Servicing

Post-origination monitoring that flags repayment risk and portfolio deterioration.

Inputs

Persisted borrower data and repayment context — bank transactions, balances, payment history, loan tape/repayment schedule, live servicing context, and prior outreach outcomes.

Outputs

Upcoming repayment-risk flags, borrower-level alerts, portfolio health signals, and next-best-action — helps detect deterioration before delinquency.

See all solutions >
Commercial outcomes

Potential uplift from Carrington Labs solutions

The potential uplift Carrington Labs models can deliver across risk separation, pricing, and portfolio margin.

30%
More accurate scoring high-risk customers
2.5x
More accurate in scoring low-risk, high-value customers
14%
Higher margins with integrated limit-setting

Potential uplift our solutions can deliver based on a sample set of anonymized data. Actual outcomes vary by lender, product, portfolio, and implementation approach.

How we work together

From proof of concept to an ongoing managed service

See the impact on your own portfolio before you commit, working with de-identified data throughout — then we retrain and recalibrate the model for you as your outcomes mature.

  1. 01

    Define a priority use case

    Start with a priority workflow where a lender-specific model can have the fastest impact.

  2. 02

    Work with de-identified data

    No PII required — models are built and tested on de-identified transaction and performance data.

  3. 03

    Build & validate the model

    The model is tested against your historical outcomes so you can see performance and impact before deployment.

  4. 04

    Compare & decide

    Compare outputs against your current approach and apply within your policy, retaining control over final decisions.

  5. 05

    Retrain as your portfolio develops

    Once live, the model moves onto our managed service — performance monitored, and retraining scheduled around your portfolio rather than re-quoted as a new build.

After go-live

Built to be maintained, not handed over

Models are produced on purpose-built infrastructure rather than assembled by hand, and built on your own borrowers within client-specific data boundaries — so retraining and recalibration are routine rather than new projects.

Retraining included

Retrained, not just refitted

As outcomes mature we retrain, revisit the target definition and engineer new features where the data supports them — included in the service, not quoted as a separate build.

Offer optimization

Risk connected to limit and price

The Credit Offer Engine turns each risk estimate into a recommended amount, term and price within your policy limits — so sharper separation shows up in margin, not just in a score.

Your data, your model

Built on your book, not a pooled score

Multi-source feature engineering across cash flow, bureau, application and portfolio data — within client-specific boundaries, never pooled into a shared standardized score.

Trust & governance

Explainable, governed, and lender-controlled

Compliance Ready

Meets strict compliance standards while delivering on speed, fairness, and transparency.

No PII required
Models use de-identified transaction data.
Compliance-ready
Designed to support explainable, governed, and lender-controlled use within your compliance framework.
Explainable outputs
Model features can map directly to adverse action reasons.
Resources

Credit risk research and guides for lenders

Blog

Model Monitoring 101 for Credit Risk Teams: Drift, Stability, and Change Control

White Paper

The Modern Credit Risk Management Playbook

Blog

A 5-Minute Guide to Cash Flow Underwriting

Compare

Compare Carrington Labs

White Paper

The Donut Hole in Lending