SOLUTIONS

Credit Offer Engine

Carrington Labs’ Credit Offer Engine uses borrower probability of default, portfolio performance, expected take rate, price elasticity, and the lender’s financial goals and risk strategy to recommend the optimal amount, term, and price to offer each borrower.
Grow your balance  sheet
Reach more borrowers by safely expanding access to higher limits.
Improve your margins
Fine-tune terms with default elasticity modeling that balances risk and return.
Balance risk and performance
Simulate and validate lending outcomes before you roll them out at scale.

Know how much to lend and at what price

Our Credit Offer Engine evaluates alternative amounts, terms, and prices for each borrower and recommends the value-maximizing offer.
Sample recommended offer
(amount, term, price)
$14,000 over 36 months
11.5% interest + $100 fee
77% acceptance probability
Risk and expected return
(from the model)
5.4% probability of default
3.0% expected loss rate
69% contribution margin — $1,884 expected

How it works

1. Send inputs
Provide borrower and account data, bureau data where available, and the borrower's requested amount and term.
2. Set your ranges and policy limits
Define your optimization ranges for amount, term, interest rate, and fee, plus policy limits such as maximum default probability, minimum acceptance probability, minimum contribution margin, and regulatory rate and term bounds.
3. Evaluate candidate offers
For each candidate offer across your ranges, the engine estimates probability of default, expected loss, contribution margin, and acceptance probability.
4. Recommend the best offer
It selects and returns the offer that maximizes expected contribution within your policy limits, plus alternatives and the borrower's preferred offer — each with amount, term, price, and risk/return metrics.

Compliance Ready

Meets strict compliance standards while delivering on speed, fairness, and transparency.

No PII required
Models use de-identified transaction data.
Compliance-ready
Designed to support explainable, governed, and lender-controlled use within your compliance framework.
Explainable outputs
The model provides explainable reason codes the lender can use within its own adverse-action process.

See other solutions

Related use cases

Optimize Loan Amount, Term & PriceBuild a Lender-Specific Credit Risk Model

FAQs

What is the Credit Offer Engine?
Carrington Labs' Credit Offer Engine works out how much to lend and at what price for each borrower, based on their probability of default and your financial goals and risk strategy — finding the optimal amount, term, and price.
How does it decide how much to lend?
It maps a borrower's probability of default to your portfolio performance and objectives, then finds the amount, term, and price that maximize value within your risk guardrails.
What does it look at?
It uses borrower and account data, bureau data where available, the requested amount and term, your optimization ranges for amount, term, interest rate, and fee, and your policy limits — such as maximum default probability, minimum acceptance probability, minimum contribution margin, and regulatory rate and term bounds.
What does it provide?
It returns a recommended, value-maximizing offer plus alternatives and the borrower's preferred offer — each with amount, term, interest rate, and fee, and the modeled probability of default, expected loss, contribution margin, acceptance probability, and expected contribution.
Does it set offers automatically, or do we stay in control?
You stay in control. The engine provides decision-ready limit and pricing outputs; you keep policy and the final decision.
Can it grow limits without increasing losses?
Yes. It's built to lift utilization and margin while keeping loss rates inside the guardrails you set.
Does it need a credit risk model to work?
It works best alongside a probability-of-default view of risk. It can use your existing model or a Carrington Labs Credit Risk Model, then translate that risk into offers.
How does it fit our existing stack?
Delivered via API or batch into your current origination, decisioning, and account-management workflows.