SOLUTIONS

Credit Risk Model

Carrington Labs builds lender-specific credit risk models that estimate probability of default and rank risk using data relevant to your product.
Tailor models to your P&L goals
Get a model built for your products, customers, and risk tolerance—no one-size-fits-all logic.
Improve risk separation
Identify applications that your current approach ranks too conservatively or too aggressively, then validate any policy change through lender-controlled testing.
Lend more while controlling risk
Tuned to your data, our models help you strike the right balance between growth and managing credit risk.

Make smarter decisions with a fuller view of credit risk

With our Credit Risk Model, combine application, bureau, internal performance, and — where available — transaction data to reveal behavioral differences traditional credit scores can't capture.
Traditional Solutions
Generic risk bands
Limited customization
Reliant on bureau data
Carrington Labs
Trained on your lending outcomes
Tuned to your product types
Incorporates transaction-level behavior
Supports responsible lending flags
Aligns with your approval/decline strategies
Fully explainable and auditable

Unlock your potential uplift

30%

more accurate in scoring high-risk customers

2.5x

more accurate in scoring low-risk, high-value customers

14%

higher margins with integrated limit-setting

The typical uplift our solutions can deliver based on a sample set of anonymized data.

How it works

1. Smart data labelling
We classify and normalize the data you provide — application, bureau, internal performance, and transaction data where available.
2. Enhanced feature generation
We identify leading predictors of credit risk.
3. Output delivery Combine with your own logic
We return a credit score and top risk drivers to use in your decisioning
4. Model monitoring and refresh
We monitor performance and agree any recalibration or rebuild under your model-governance process.

Compliance Ready

Meets strict compliance standards while delivering on speed, fairness, and transparency.

No PII required
Models use de-identified transaction data.
Compliance-ready
Designed to support explainable, governed, and lender-controlled use within your compliance framework.
Explainable outputs
The model provides explainable reason codes the lender can use within its own adverse-action process.

See other solutions

FAQs

Does Carrington Labs make the credit decision?
No. Carrington Labs supplies model outputs; the lender retains policy and final decision control.
What is a custom credit risk model?
A model trained and calibrated on your own portfolio, products, and performance data to estimate probability of default and rank risk — not a generic market score.
What data can the model use?
Any combination, or any single source: transaction data, bureau data, application data, or your internal performance data. It doesn't require transaction data — but turning transaction data into predictive signal is one of our particular strengths.
Does the model work with customer-consented transaction data?
Yes. It works with customer-permissioned (open banking) transaction data, used with consent and delivered as explainable, decision-ready signals.
Is this cash flow underwriting?
Yes — and it's one of the strongest expressions of it. Where a lender has transaction data, we turn it into advanced behavioral signals that predict credit risk for their specific product and portfolio, rather than a generic cash-flow rule set. And if a lender doesn't have transaction data, that's fine — the model can be built on bureau, application, or internal performance data instead. Either way it's calibrated to your own book.
What makes a Carrington Labs custom model different?
The edge is in the modeling, not just the data: advanced feature generation and behavioral features engineered from raw data, calibrated to your portfolio and products, with explainable drivers built in.
How is it different from a generic bureau score?
A bureau score reflects broad-market patterns; a custom model is built around your borrower mix, risk appetite, and product economics, so it separates risk more precisely where your decisions actually happen.
Can we validate it on our own portfolio before going live?
Yes. It's tested against your historical outcomes so you can see performance and impact before deployment.
Does it replace our decisioning platform?
No. It feeds an explainable risk signal into your existing rules, scorecards, and decision engine.
How is the Credit Risk Model different from Cashflow Score?
Cashflow Score is a fast, pre-tuned score built on transaction data — a ready-made signal you can plug in quickly. The Credit Risk Model goes further: it's personalized to your portfolio, products, and objectives, and can be built on transaction data, bureau, application, and internal performance data, or any mix. It's the stronger option when you want a model tuned to your own book.
What if we don't have transaction data?
That's fine. The Credit Risk Model can be built entirely on bureau, application, and internal performance data. Transaction data adds a powerful behavioral signal when it's available, but it isn't required.